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  • đŸ’” Stablecoins hit $310B: The IMF is nervous

đŸ’” Stablecoins hit $310B: The IMF is nervous

PLUS: Central banks move carefully, crypto treasuries feel the strain, commodities wake up, and markets recalibrate risk.

The $310B Stablecoin market vs the IMF

Stablecoins crossed $310 billion and The IMF has just sounded the alarm.

The stablecoin market, meanwhile, quietly hit a new all-time high this week, solidifying itself as one of the fastest growing financial rails in crypto. The International Monetary Fund warned, meanwhile, that dollar-pegged tokens could undercut emerging-market currencies by allowing capital to flow out of the banking system.

Two very different interpretations of the same phenomenon.

Why the IMF is nervous

The IMF’s concern isn’t volatility. It’s control.

Stablecoins circumvent established financial intermediaries. That’s made them both more difficult to track and regulate, and easier to access when capital controls tighten. In stressed economies, that matters.

USDT and USDC together now clock in at ~$264B, close to the FX reserves of some major countries. In theory, that provides households and businesses in vulnerable economies a direct route to dollars without relying on local banks.

That’s what the IMF is keeping an eye on.

But the Macro Analysts are not panicking

The pushback came quickly.

Analysts on the macro level contend that stablecoins are not large enough to influence the tides of global capital flows. Next to FX markets, a bond redemption cycle, or a derivatives expiration flare-up, stablecoins are sideshow stuff.

The vast majority of the current use of stablecoins in emerging markets is still for trading crypto, not treasury management or mass capital flight. Even the fund’s own statistics indicate that cross-border flows for stablecoins are rising: though they remain a fraction of all global payments.

Big picture: the dollar system is measured in trillions. Stablecoins are measured in hundreds of billions. ( For now )

What is changing

This isn’t about speculation anymore.

The heavy lifting is being done by payment-focused stablecoins. Platforms like PayPal and YouTube are allowing their users to cash out in stablecoins. This is infrastructure, not leverage. Stablecoins have graduated from a liquid entry/exit point for all cryptocurrencies to being transactional money.

And that’s where the tension is.

Cryptopolitan’s take

Emerging markets haven’t been destabilized by stablecoins yet. But they are revealing how tenuous capital controls get, in an internet-­native economy.

This isn’t a crypto problem. It’s a monetary design problem.

The risk isn’t the $310B market that exists currently: it’s what happens if or when trust breaks faster than regulation can address.

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📊 Market Watch

1ïžâƒŁ Japan begins the slowest central-bank exit in history

The Bank of Japan is gearing up to unwind more than $500B in ETFs, but at a pace almost so slow it’s symbolic. Next month the BOJ will begin selling about „330B per annum, a glide path that would require over 100 years.

Officials insist the flow should feel invisible, particularly when nervous global markets are already on edge. This is Japan opting for stability over speed, a statement that balance-sheet normalization will not be the next global shock.

2ïžâƒŁ Crypto treasury stocks enter survival mode

The post-rally reality check has arrived for digital asset treasury companies. After Bitcoin cracked in October, stocks built on debt-fueled BTC accumulation collapsed, exposing how thin many business models really are.

Dozens of companies trade below the value of their cryptocurrency holdings, and investors are asking for more than just coins; they want cash flow. The market is turning sideways and perhaps only treasury strategies that are sound through real work will survive.

3ïžâƒŁ Copper snaps back as supply fears return

Copper rallied strongly, advancing around 2% as traders shifted their focus to tight supply from last week’s AI-led selloff in risk.

American hoarding in anticipation of potential tariffs is emptying global stockpiles, and mine disruptions are reducing future production. Analysts are now warning that 2026 could usher in structural deficits and send prices toward new highs.

This rally is not because of China demand, it’s an inventories-are-disappearing-in-front-of-your-eyes sort of rally.

 đŸ‘€ Chart our Analyst is watching

PIPPIN has pushed to new all-time highs above $0.32, outperforming the broader market and even eclipsing its previous AI-agent peak. The move is attracting attention not because of fundamentals, but because of positioning.

 đŸ„ Top tweets

🎭 Culture corner

A viral post sparked weekend chaos on crypto X by floating a nightmare scenario: a future quantum computer hacks Satoshi Nakamoto’s ~1.1M BTC and dumps it on the market.

Monday headline picks

Penguin Going To Work GIF by Pudgy Penguins

Gif by pudgypenguins on Giphy

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