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  • 🧠 Coinbase prepares for Bitcoin quantum security, industry rallies behind

🧠 Coinbase prepares for Bitcoin quantum security, industry rallies behind

PLUS: SpaceX is few Dollars From Wall Street Calling Its AI Worthless

Bitcoin's Biggest Names Just Came Together For a Change of Cryptography

Coinbase released a plan on Thursday to get Bitcoin ready for quantum computing, and it has company. A new Bitcoin Security Consortium has pulled in a combined $15 million over the next three years from backers including BlackRock, Fidelity, Strategy, Block, Galaxy, ARK Invest, Coinbase, Anchorage and Blockstream. Bitcoiners are very, very happy that this is the first time that the biggest asset managers on Earth have directly funded the open-source developers who keep Bitcoin's code running.

The threat is not yet here, and that's the problem

Brian Armstrong made it clear that quantum computing poses no imminent threat to Bitcoin. Today, no machine can be constructed that will break the elliptic-curve cryptography safeguarding the network. It is an argument about lead time. No one knows when a fault-tolerant quantum computer comes along, and we can't push out the fix at a moment's notice as soon as it does.

Coinbase's very own advisory board reached a stark conclusion: that the cryptography currently securing blockchains needs to be replaced. And the tricky bit is not building the replacement. It's the migration.

The difficult task is not moving millions of users to new standards, that alone takes years, even for a token listed on a ton of exchanges, but coordinating a decentralized network onto those new standards when you do not have the benefit of an entity pushing your upgrade.

The stakes are concrete. Analysis from Coinbase has suggested there could be 7 million BTC in addresses where the public key is exposed to a machine likely able to steal them if it ever appears. Currently that means tens of billions of dollars sitting on what amounts to a countdown timer in cryptography.

First, follow the money, and then see how small it is

But then there is the detail that puts an entirely different spin on the entire announcement. Core development for Bitcoin has always run on very little. The whole ecosystem operates on low single-digit millions a year across the nonprofits that fund it: Brink, OpenSats, Chaincode, Spiral. $15 million over three years is not a rounding error against that baseline. It might be roughly equivalent to all the other stuff that Bitcoin development is running on these days.

That is a very odd thing to sit with. With just a few developers and pin money, the network securing over a trillion dollars in value has been sustained until ETF money on the scale of BlackRock showed up to change that equation.

As for just how far the reach of that influence goes, the consortium is nothing if not cautious. No shares or votes on proposals: members will not operate a central treasury or vote on any proposals to change the protocol. Day-to-day coordination is managed by Brink's Mike Schmidt, working as a volunteer, as each firm independently decides which developers get its share. It was intended as a hands-off structure, an attempt to fund Bitcoin without appearing to direct it.

Why now, and what it signals

It's not just that quantum research is reaching a maturity where timing matters. In spot Bitcoin ETF filings, BlackRock has officially identified quantum computing as a risk factor, which means the same institutions that now hold tens of billions of Bitcoin exposure have a concrete financial incentive to ensure the network survives its next technical challenge. Two days earlier, Galaxy did this with an independent $5 million quantum grant program (nobody has said yet if it sits within that $15 million total).

The truth is actually much simpler when the quantum framing is stripped away. Bitcoin's institutional owners have now decided the security of the network is theirs to help fund. That's a bigger change from the norm than any single upgrade.

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1️⃣ SpaceX is few Dollars From Wall Street Calling Its AI Worthless

SpaceX has fallen to $110.85, down 18% from its $135 IPO and nearly 50% off its post-listing peak. Morgan Stanley's Adam Jonas says $100 is the line where the market would be pricing SpaceX's AI business, Grok and Cursor included, at zero. He still holds a $300 target and calls the drop a buying opportunity.

Next test: August 6, when the first lockup expires and up to 911.5 million shares can hit the market, two days after SpaceX's first earnings report as a public company.

2️⃣ Oil Just Talked the Fed Into Considering a Hike

A week ago, markets priced under 11% odds of a rate hike at Wednesday's meeting. Now it's above a third, after Iran-US tensions pushed crude past $100 a barrel. Kevin Warsh runs his second meeting as chair with unemployment claims at a 1969 low and inflation still at 3.5%, room to move either way.

He's said less than usual on purpose, even pushing back on his own past testimony when lawmakers read it to him.

3️⃣ Saylor Posted a Chart. Nothing Happened.

Michael Saylor posted Strategy's Bitcoin chart Sunday captioned "We're gonna need another color." For the first time in years, no purchase followed. Strategy hasn't bought Bitcoin in four weeks, its longest pause in two years.

Its mNAV fell below 1 in June, meaning issuing shares to buy Bitcoin now shrinks Bitcoin-per-share instead of growing it, and the 843,775 BTC position sits about $8.6 billion underwater at cost. Last week's $263.5 million stock sale went into cash reserves, not coins. Q2 earnings land Thursday.

Are you watching?

Coinbase, Bybit, Circle, and Gemini top list of most successful Fintechs in 2026

Coinbase (NASDAQ: COIN), Bybit, Circle (NYSE: CRCL), and Gemini lead the names on CNBC and Statista’s 2026 ranking of 500 global Fintechs. Coinbase, listed as decentralized, returned after appearing in an earlier edition.

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