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- 💸 Bitcoin just broke $75,000. Here’s a reason the number matters more than the move.
💸 Bitcoin just broke $75,000. Here’s a reason the number matters more than the move.
PLUS: The compute race is accelerating past anything previously announced.
Bitcoin just broke $75,000. Here’s a reason the number matters more than the move.

For ten weeks, nothing worked.
The war started. Ceasefires came and went. Peace talks collapsed in Islamabad. Trump ordered a naval blockade. Oil crossed $100. And throughout all of that, Bitcoin just sat there indecisively, price movement trapped between $65,000 and $75,000 as if unable to form an opinion. Positions were built around the range. At the top of it, short sellers crowded, wagering that it would not break.
On Monday night, it broke.
Bitcoin jumped about 6% in a few hours, racing from approximately $70,741 to just below $75,000. Approximately $89 million in short positions had been washed out as sellers who had piled up above the landmark at $73,500 were caught on the wrong side of a move that had been building for weeks. The squeeze accelerated everything.
However, the short squeeze is not what you should be focused on.
The inflation reading nobody expected
March CPI printed at 3.3%, highest in two years, and the immediate instinct is to treat that as bad news for risk assets. Then folks examined where the inflation was actually coming from. Gasoline prices jumped 21.2% and were responsible for close to three-quarters of all the increase in the CPI. Take out energy and food and core inflation was 2.6%, below the 2.7% that had been forecast.
The economy is not overheating. A war closed the world’s oil artery and gasoline became costly. Those are separate problems with different implications for the Fed.
The Fed apparently agrees. After the data, CME FedWatch shows 98% of traders expecting a hold, not a hike, at the April 28 to 29 FOMC meeting. That one shift, from “maybe they hike” to “they are definitely holding,” quietly eliminated the largest ceiling that has been hanging over Bitcoin for months.
Institutions did not wait for the evidence to emerge
Spot ETFs were quick to pick up the signal. They attracted $786 million in net inflows last week, their biggest week in more than a month. Between April 6 to 12, Strategy purchased a further 13,927 BTC at an average price of $71,902 for an approx cost of $1 billion. As of now, the company owns around 780,897 BTC.
The $75,000 figure is not an arbitrary number. It is the upper end of the consolidation range that has hemmed Bitcoin in since February. If it maintains on strong volume, then the way opens toward $80,000. “If it breaks down and gets back below $72,000, the range reasserts and we do it again.” The real test comes at the April 28 to 29 FOMC meeting. Bitcoin has lost value after eight of the past nine FOMC meetings no matter the outcome.
The market signals at base of the price
What is interesting about this break is not only price. It is the context around it.
The same week Bitcoin broke $75,000, it was revealed that SpaceX has 8,285 BTC worth around $603 million in Coinbase Prime custody and completely untouched since mid-2024, well after its xAI integration cost nearly $5 billion last fiscal year. The company went from making $8 billion to losing $5 billion and did not sell a single coin.
Anthony Scaramucci, who controls SpaceX equity and Bitcoin via SkyBridge, stated on X simply: “Bitcoin will soon be on every corporates balance sheet.”
SpaceX is the fourth largest known corporate Bitcoin holder. Its pending IPO will force it to classify that position as fair value in public for the first time under new FASB accounting rules. Every CFO looking at that filing will have to ask, “Do we need to talk differently?”
The range broke. Macro changed for the better. And one of the most analysed companies on earth just showed what getting through the tough bit really looks like.
POLL: What do you think happens next for BTC |
📊 Market Watch

1️⃣ Goldman reported its second-best quarter ever.
Goldman Sachs started Q1 earnings season on Monday with its second highest quarterly profit ever. The year started with optimism, “but things don’t tend to happen in a straight line,” CEO David Solomon told analysts. The stock wiped out its entire year-to-date gain after the report, however.
And that tension is the entire story this earnings season. The backward-looking numbers are strong. GOLD: Wall Street banks see a $40 billion trading bonanza from Q1 as volatility around the Iran war hit. Oh, and JPMorgan, Wells Fargo and Citi report today. Bank of America and Morgan Stanley latter. On every single call, it’s the same question for every CEO: What does the war do to your numbers through the rest of the year?
2️⃣ Warsh filed his paperwork. There is still no date for that hearing.
Kevin Warsh filed his financial disclosures with the Senate on Monday, a step that clears one procedural obstacle toward a confirmation hearing. The expected April 16 slot never came. Next week is the soonest possible hearing date under a five-day notice rule in the Senate. The underlying issue is deeper than paperwork.
Senator Thom Tillis is stalling any vote until the Powell investigation by DOJ is finalized. A federal judge already dismissed the underlying subpoenas. Powell said he will serve as chair pro tem if Warsh is not confirmed by the May 15 deadline. The world’s most important central bank job is essentially in limbo 31 days before it becomes vacant.
3️⃣ Strategy acquired another 13,927 BTC, sticking to its recent approach of large-scale buying.
The new purchase, valued at $1B, follows another week of successful STRC preferred stock sales. Strategy continued its weekly purchases, adding 13,927 more BTC at an average price of $71,902 per BTC. The recent purchase still leaves Strategy holdings underwater, but the bear market has not stopped the company from making large-scale purchases.
Strategy remains among the few playbook companies to keep adding BTC rapidly and without pause.
🐥 Tweet of the day
AI highlights

Meta scrapped its open-source playbook and shipped something new. After Llama 4 flopped last year, the company rebuilt its entire AI stack from scratch under a new unit called Meta Superintelligence Labs, led by Alexandr Wang (acquired via the $14.3B Scale AI deal). The first output is Muse Spark, a small, fast reasoning model optimised for science, math, health, and agentic tasks. It is proprietary, a notable break from Meta's open-source identity.
OpenAI cut O3 prices by 80% and made its best reasoning model accessible to far more developers. Input tokens dropped from $10 to $2 per million. Output from $40 to $8. A new Flex mode adds further off-peak discounts. Frontier-level reasoning just stopped being a budget conversation.
The compute race is accelerating past anything previously announced. Meta's AI capex for 2026 landed between $115B and $135B, nearly double last year. Anthropic locked in 3.5 gigawatts of Google TPU compute through Broadcom starting 2027. OpenAI raised $122B and called compute a "strategic moat." The labs are no longer just competing on model quality. They are competing on how much of the world's power grid they can control.
DeepSeek R2 reignited the cost efficiency debate. The Chinese lab's latest reasoning model matched OpenAI o3 on key benchmarks while pricing its API roughly 70% lower than comparable Western models. Every time the West assumes it has pulled ahead on capability, DeepSeek closes the gap on cost.
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