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- 🥊 AI giants race: Cost is the new moat
🥊 AI giants race: Cost is the new moat
PLUS: Is Warren Buffett losing his power as the god of Wall Street?
This week saw three flagship AI models shipped within 48hrs but none of them was led by intelligence.

Grok 4.5 landed Wednesday. GPT-5. 6 went wide Thursday. On the same day, Meta launched it's first paid API. Cost was the common headline number in every pitch.
Sam Altman was on CNBC and followed up with efficiency rather than benchmarks. GPT-5. Top agentic coders use 54% fewer tokens in Sol, the new family. He didn't dress up why. "Every enterprise today is thinking about spend and what they get for that," he said. In Grok 4.5, SpaceXAI claimed about half the tokens as efficient. Meta completely avoided the argument by simply underpricing everyone, offering its API for just $1.25 per million input tokens compared with OpenAI's $5 for flagship tier (a "very aggressive" number according to Alexandr Wang).
None of these companies would have issued with a price six months ago.
But hey, things changed and the invoices came through. The first half of the year was tokenmaxxing season where everyone threw AI at everything and nobody bothered to count. Pricing then turned to pay per use, finance teams discovered the bills and it all came crashing to an end fairly quickly. Uber ran its entire 2026 AI coding budget to full blaze in four months, it is claimed Microsoft began reclaiming developer licenses that were given to many a few weeks before this. The pitch "we score higher on this benchmark" only works until a CFO walks into the room.
Now efficiency is the new product. Which speaks volumes in and of itself, because efficiency is what you peddle once the capability gap has all but dried up to make the impact negligible to purchasers.
But there is another thing that sits under all of this.
Now Washington shows up at lunchtime launches. Before GPT-5, Altman said OpenAI collaborated with Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and cyber director Sean Cairncross. After the administration kept it in late last month, 6 went out. Anthropic had its own kind of version in June, when Mythos and Fable became ensnared by export controls, and it wasn't until July 1 that Fable returned.
Not all ship dates are entirely the labs' choice anymore. However, the most incisive remark of the week was not in reference to a launch.
With a deal worth around $40 billion, Anthropic runs most of its compute on Colossus 1, the Memphis facility owned by Musk, costing approximately $1.25 billion per month through 2029. Anthropic competes directly with Grok. An X user pointed out the obvious: why Musk couldn't turn off the lights and kill a competitor tomorrow.
He passed. Writing about the need to monitor fair competition in AI, he wrote: "I think I was clearly wrong on Anthropic; it is obviously the leader in this space right now and no one has released anything like Mythos or Fable. On the notion of severing ties: "That's not in my character."
Ironically these are the same comments from somebody who just five months ago labelled Claude's models as "misanthropic and evil" and in September described that there was "never a possibility of winning" for Anthropic. The independent rankings favour the new version of him. Anthropic models still dominate the charts at Artificial Analysis, with Grok 4.5 only mildly generously rated as "best non-Anthropic model";
People went whole week debating who is more cheap. The guy with his hand on the switch has just told you who really is in front.

1️⃣ A BlueMove DEX on Sui has just been accused of sucking liquidity from its own pools
On-chain detectives claim that someone inserted a backdoor into an update of the contract in May and then drained every pool associated with the exchange, which amounted to over 700,000 SUI by one count.
One of the attacks involved an on-chain message written to the attacker containing a way for them to keep 30% and “vault” the remainder if they returned it within 48 hours, as a bounty for not doing so in bad faith. BlueMove has a track record for suddenly calling off chains, and to date has said nothing in public.
2️⃣ SpaceX’s AI empire is built on data centers, not satellites
The story of AI at SpaceX is actually one that is fairly down to Earth. Instead, analysts now contend that the true near-term dough isn't being spent on Musk's orbital computing dream but from terrestrial Colossus clusters SpaceX is renting out to Anthropic, Google and Reflection AI alone in contracts expected to generate over $28 billion a year.
That's larger than the combined revenue of SpaceX's rocket and Starlink businesses already. Some say space-based compute is a real thing and only a decade-plus away.
3️⃣ The IRS can’t decide if World Cup prediction market bets are really gambling
The World Cup prediction market bet is costing people money right now, and nobody even knows how to tax it.
Place the same bet on a sportsbook vs something like Kalshi and you might find yourself in wildly different tax brackets: gambling income vs investment gains; versus some special contracts rule that takes your tax rate at 60/40. The IRS hasn't committed, and new rules from this year limit the potential deduction of losses.
Are you watching?
Is Warren Buffett losing his power as the god of Wall Street?

Warren Buffett’s grip on Wall Street looks less secure in 2026 because Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.A, NYSE: BRK.B) is badly trailing the market. The company’s Class B stock is down 1.8% this year, while the S&P 500 has gained 10.7%.
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